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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Saunders Jr. 32 5-6 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 0 4 12 11 -
K. Williams * 35 3-11 1-4 7-11 3 6 2 1 3 14 12 -
J. Davenport * 33 6-10 5-7 2-3 7 2 4 1 4 19 19 -
M. Adams-Woods * 31 2-7 2-4 4-4 5 4 2 2 1 10 15 -
C. Vogt * 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
T. Eason 22 3-9 0-0 3-6 7 1 1 0 4 9 5 -
M. Madsen 21 1-5 0-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 3 5 -
D. DeJulius 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McNeill 27 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Davis * 38 9-17 4-7 13-17 2 4 3 0 1 35 26 -
E. Bandoumel * 30 2-9 1-6 1-1 6 1 1 1 4 6 2 -
E. Chargois * 29 3-9 1-4 0-2 12 1 0 0 6 7 5 -
F. Hunt * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
C. Smith IV 18 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
I. Jasey 17 1-1 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 3 0 3 9 -
T. Jolly 13 3-7 1-4 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
W. Douglas 12 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
E. Ray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter