Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerwin Walton | 28 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Love | 26 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| RJ Davis | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Harris | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Walker Kessler | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsa Koprivica * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Raiquan Gray * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Polite * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| RayQuan Evans * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Scottie Barnes | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Sardaar Calhoun | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Malik Osborne | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tanor Ngom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathanael Jack | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Ballard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter