Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -8 (73-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love | 26 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -5 | - |
| K. Walton | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| G. Brooks | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Harris | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Platek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Black * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| RJ Davis | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| D. Sharpe | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| W. Kessler | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pemsl | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mutts * | 36 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| T. Radford * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| K. Aluma * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| W. Bede * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| N. Alleyne * | 27 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| H. Cattoor | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. N'Guessan | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Bamisile | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter