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2021-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marek Dolezaj * 40 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 4 1 1 0 6 12 -
Quincy Guerrier * 39 6-14 0-3 2-6 10 1 2 0 1 14 12 -
Buddy Boeheim * 39 10-17 5-8 6-6 2 3 0 0 2 31 17 -
Joseph Girard III * 24 1-8 1-5 0-0 6 4 3 0 1 3 7 -
Alan Griffin * 12 0-4 0-2 3-3 2 1 0 2 1 3 3 -
Robert Braswell 27 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Kadary Richmond 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jesse Edwards 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hauser 36 8-15 3-10 2-2 5 3 0 1 1 21 14 -
J. Huff 36 4-5 0-0 5-6 12 2 0 4 2 13 24 -
J. McKoy 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 2 5 -
C. Morsell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Clark * 34 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 10 8 -
T. Murphy III * 32 4-12 3-11 4-4 2 0 2 2 0 15 9 -
R. Beekman * 31 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 3 4 -
T. Woldetensae 15 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -

* = starter