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Montana State Bobcats 80
@
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 77
2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 ✗ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - ✓

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Bishop * 43 3-16 2-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 8 -2 -
A. Adamu * 41 11-19 2-5 5-7 9 2 1 0 6 29 16 -
J. Belo * 39 7-13 0-0 8-10 8 1 0 8 2 22 24 -
A. Mohamed * 33 5-10 1-1 0-0 14 4 2 0 0 11 21 -
D. Kirby * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Gazelas 21 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Tynes 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Fernandez 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Patterson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Fleute 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Knight III 41 4-11 0-0 3-5 3 9 1 2 2 11 13 -
A. Moody 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
D. Barnes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Fausett * 43 8-13 4-5 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 22 16 -
D. Marin * 40 3-8 3-7 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 9 6 -
T. Jones * 37 6-16 2-7 1-1 10 2 1 0 3 15 9 -
I. Madunic * 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
H. Butler 29 6-13 2-3 2-2 7 2 0 1 2 16 11 -
M. Moore 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter