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Northern Colorado Bears 83
@
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 91
2021-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 ✓ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% - ✓

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +8 (91-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daylen Kountz * 39 7-18 1-7 7-11 3 4 1 1 2 22 11 -
Bodie Hume * 38 9-16 6-12 6-10 8 2 0 1 1 30 24 -
Matt Johnson * 38 4-8 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 10 3 -
K. Jockuch * 29 4-6 0-0 5-6 12 1 2 1 7 13 16 -
Bryce Kennedy * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Tre'Shon Smoots 24 2-10 2-9 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 0 -
Jamel Melvin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 0 0 6 -
Sam Masten 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Knight III 40 13-21 0-0 8-8 3 3 1 0 2 34 18 -
Aanen Moody 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
N. Fleming 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jones * 37 3-10 2-7 5-6 8 0 1 0 2 13 10 -
D. Marin * 34 3-5 1-1 8-8 2 3 0 0 0 15 15 -
M. Fausett * 27 4-11 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 0 3 10 3 -
I. Madunic * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
M. Moore 22 2-4 1-3 5-7 6 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
H. Butler 19 1-7 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter