Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +8 (91-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kountz * | 39 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 7-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| B. Hume * | 38 | 9-16 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - |
| M. Johnson II * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Jockuch * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 16 | - |
| B. Kennedy * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Smoots | 24 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Melvin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Masten | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Knight III | 40 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 18 | - |
| A. Moody | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Fleming | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jones * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Marin * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Fausett * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| I. Madunic * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Moore | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| H. Butler | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter