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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% -
Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harper Jr. 34 7-13 0-1 7-9 2 1 3 0 0 21 14 -
J. Young 31 6-13 0-0 1-1 0 1 3 0 5 13 -1 -
G. Baker 30 4-8 1-5 1-1 3 1 0 1 2 10 5 -
M. Mathis 22 2-5 0-1 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
M. Johnson 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 0 6 11 -
P. Mulcahy 14 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
M. Mag 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Doucoure 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Reiber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Omoruyi 18 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
C. McConnell 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -2 -
J. Jones 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
O. Palmquist 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 32 8-11 0-2 7-9 5 6 3 0 5 23 21 -
T. Frazier * 30 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 8 6 -
K. Cockburn * 27 6-10 0-0 6-11 12 0 2 1 2 18 21 -
A. Miller * 26 5-10 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 12 10 -
J. Grandison * 22 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
D. Williams 23 2-4 2-4 3-4 5 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
A. Curbelo 15 2-8 0-1 3-5 2 1 0 0 2 7 0 -
G. Bezhanishvili 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Griffith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Hawkins 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Underwood 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Bosmans-Verdonk 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Serven 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter