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2021-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wieskamp 37 4-12 3-7 1-2 7 1 1 1 0 12 10 -
CJ Fredrick Jr. 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
J. Bohannon * 38 6-15 5-13 3-4 2 6 1 0 2 20 12 -
L. Garza * 34 8-21 0-3 5-6 12 2 3 1 3 21 15 -
C. McCaffery * 27 0-0 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 1 2 2 9 -
Ke. Murray 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
P. McCaffery 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Perkins 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Toussaint 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Ogundele 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 38 7-16 0-1 4-5 7 9 0 0 5 18 13 -
T. Frazier * 31 3-10 1-5 2-2 1 5 1 2 0 9 8 -
K. Cockburn * 24 11-17 0-0 4-7 8 1 0 1 0 26 19 -
J. Grandison * 22 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
A. Miller * 21 2-7 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
A. Curbelo 28 6-8 0-1 0-0 7 3 3 1 0 12 18 -
D. Williams 20 0-1 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 2 1 2 12 -
G. Bezhanishvili 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
B. Bosmans-Verdonk 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter