Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Barcello | 34 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Averette | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Lohner | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 25 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Kolby Lee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gideon George * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Trevin Knell | 27 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Johnson | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Richard Harward | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 40 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Joel Ayayi * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Corey Kispert * | 37 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Anton Watson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Cook | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter