Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thomas * | 40 | 6-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Trendon Watford * | 39 | 13-23 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 38 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Darius Days * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh LeBlanc | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Shackelford * | 37 | 8-19 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| John Petty * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 25 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Bruner * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Alex Reese | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| James Rojas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter