Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas * | 40 | 6-18 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| J. Smart * | 40 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| T. Watford * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Days * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Hyatt * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Gaines | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. LeBlanc Sr. | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Wilkinson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moody * | 39 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 8-12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| J. Smith * | 39 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| D. Davis * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J. Tate * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Vanover * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| JD Notae | 27 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| E. Henderson | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Sills | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter