Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Smith | 38 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Mark Smith | 26 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Javon Pickett | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Drew Buggs | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Parker Braun | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Connor Vanover * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JD Notae | 32 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Desi Sills | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ethan Henderson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Vance Jackson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter