Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +37 (85-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinten Post | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javian Davis | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. * | 33 | 2-14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -7 | - |
| Iverson Molinar * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Derek Fountain * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deivon Smith | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Petty * | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Joshua Primo * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 18 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Bruner * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 22 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miles | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| James Rojas | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Alex Reese | 10 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kendall Wall | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Barnes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Britton Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter