Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Ado | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Iverson Molinar | 30 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Deivon Smith | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Quinten Post | 9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Javian Davis | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. * | 37 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Davion Mintz * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Boston * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Olivier Sarr * | 23 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jacob Toppin * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dontaie Allen | 29 | 8-15 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Devin Askew | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keion Brooks | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Lance Ware | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Clarke | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter