Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.0% | 11.0% | -11.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Lady Hornets +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mcwain | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| N. Kincey | 32 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Johnson | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 10 | - |
| T. Metcalf | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Moore | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| K. Watson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. White | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Fleming | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Emmanuel | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Crawford | 37 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| C. Lee | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Rudolph | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Smith | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Ward | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| F. Pearson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Sanders | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Grace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Randle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter