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2021-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -8 (48-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Snyder 35 5-14 1-5 5-5 7 2 1 0 0 16 12 -
K. Immel 34 7-20 3-8 0-1 5 2 0 1 2 17 3 -
B. Autrey-Thompson 31 3-12 1-2 2-4 7 1 0 0 5 9 0 -
K. Huffman 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 4 2 0 9 -
E. Conroe 24 2-5 1-1 0-0 7 3 2 1 1 5 12 -
C. Winters 14 2-3 0-0 2-4 3 1 2 0 0 6 9 -
N. McDonald 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Gadison 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. MacMillan 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Heath 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
K. Pilson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Staples 35 2-12 0-2 3-3 8 3 1 0 3 7 4 -
S. Ramos 33 3-13 1-4 6-6 3 1 1 0 2 13 3 -
A. Crain 30 2-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
T. Adams 27 5-15 0-0 3-5 6 1 1 0 3 13 3 -
I. Hernandez 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
F. Vinerte 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 3 1 2 3 11 -
K. Villalobos 16 1-4 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 1 3 4 3 -
K. Gipson 13 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
K. Edwards 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Chynoweth 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter