Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +28 (80-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Octave | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Nikc Jackson * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Carter Murphy * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ameka Akaya * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Christopher Joyce * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Keaton Van Soelen | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Abe Kinrade | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mason Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Grill | 31 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Devin Tillis | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Jenkins Jr. | 24 | 6-13 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Moses Wood | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Nicquel Blake | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Edoardo Del Cadia | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Donavan Yap | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Hamilton * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| C. Diong * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Reece Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kendrick Gilbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trey Hurlburt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter