Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +7 (58-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Till | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Colby Rogers * | 37 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Keith Smith * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 32 | 6-20 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Mark Crowe * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brantly Stevenson | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Davis | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Austin Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Emmanuel Tshimanga | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Collin Welp * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Brad Greene * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Lee * | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dawson Baker * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Jeron Artest * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| JC Butler | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Justin Hohn | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Andre Henry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dean Keeler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter