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2021-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 52.7% 47.3% -0.6 (28.6 off)

Actual: Mercer Bears +28 (87-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Champion 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Parks * 29 4-12 0-2 2-3 8 0 2 0 2 10 6 -
J. Rillie * 28 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 2 3 -
A.J. Staton-McCray * 26 2-11 0-4 1-2 6 2 2 1 3 5 2 -
L. Dye * 20 3-12 0-2 6-6 8 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Tryon * 17 2-6 1-3 0-2 4 0 0 1 3 5 1 -
M. Vail 23 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 4 -
T. Chambers 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Dupree 13 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 8 4 -
Q. Richey 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Henderson Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
B. Smith 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ayers III 27 7-12 2-4 1-1 4 5 2 0 1 17 15 -
N. Alvarez 25 2-7 0-1 0-1 4 3 4 0 3 4 5 -
F. Haase 21 6-9 5-8 0-0 8 2 0 1 0 17 19 -
V. Bafutto 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
J. Gary * 30 2-5 1-3 3-4 4 3 2 0 0 8 12 -
R. Cummings * 28 4-10 3-7 6-7 5 3 1 0 1 17 15 -
J. Glisson III * 19 5-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
K. Robertson 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Urey 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 1 7 -
D. Rivera 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Greco 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Prendergast 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Grant 3 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Treanor 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter