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2021-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -7 (82-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Des. Cambridge Jr. * 37 11-19 4-8 5-6 5 1 2 2 2 31 20 -
G. Sherfield * 35 8-14 3-3 7-9 2 3 3 0 5 26 15 -
T. Coleman * 33 2-6 1-4 0-0 7 5 1 0 1 5 11 -
D. Foster * 29 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
W. Washington * 27 8-13 0-0 2-4 11 3 1 0 0 18 20 -
K. Milling 22 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 3 -
K. Hymes 9 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
R. Robinson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Alston Jr. 37 6-13 2-4 2-2 6 4 1 0 1 16 13 -
R. Dennis 21 4-7 2-4 0-1 1 2 2 0 1 10 7 -
D. Doutrive * 37 6-11 1-4 4-4 10 3 0 0 3 17 16 -
E. Akot * 36 4-9 2-4 5-9 1 3 1 1 3 15 9 -
M. Shaver Jr. * 22 1-4 0-2 5-6 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
M. Armus * 18 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
L. Milner 21 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 1 0 9 11 -
M. Rice 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter