Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crutcher * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 6 | - |
| I. Watson * | 32 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Chatman * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Tshimanga * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| R.J. Blakney * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Amzil | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Z. Nwokeji | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Brea | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Weaver | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Medley-Bacon | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Baldwin Jr. * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| N. Hyland * | 37 | 11-18 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 26 | - |
| H. Ward * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| V. Williams Jr. * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Stockard III * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Watkins | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Douglas Jr. | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Banks | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Brown-Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter