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2021-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 68.7% 31.3% -
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Log Adjusted 89.5% 10.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 37 6-18 1-6 4-8 9 5 2 2 4 17 13 -
T. Frazier * 33 7-13 4-8 4-5 3 2 0 0 2 22 12 -
K. Cockburn * 24 5-11 0-0 3-11 6 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
J. Grandison * 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 4 9 -
A. Miller * 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Williams 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 0 10 -
A. Curbelo 19 5-7 0-1 2-4 4 2 1 0 3 12 9 -
G. Bezhanishvili 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Hawkins 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Henry 39 9-19 0-1 2-4 6 5 2 2 2 20 14 -
J. Langford 36 6-11 1-1 0-1 16 1 2 1 1 13 21 -
G. Brown 32 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
R. Watts 31 5-11 0-1 5-7 1 5 1 0 1 15 10 -
M. Bingham Jr. 12 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 3 0 7 9 -
J. Marble 7 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
T. Kithier 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 -
J. Hauser 14 3-3 2-2 5-6 2 2 1 1 2 13 14 -
A. Hoggard 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Sissoko 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hall 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter