Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 37 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 4-8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 33 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Miller * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 19 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry | 39 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Langford | 36 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| G. Brown | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Watts | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Marble | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Kithier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hauser | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter