Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hellems * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| DJ Funderburk * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Hayes * | 30 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| D. Seabron * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Bates * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Moore | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Beverly | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 37 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | - |
| J. Huff | 33 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| J. McKoy | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Clark * | 39 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Morsell | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter