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2021-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nolley II 35 5-9 1-3 3-3 2 2 2 0 4 14 7 -
B. Ellis 34 3-11 1-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 7 4 -
L. Quinones 31 3-8 3-7 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
D. Baugh 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D.J. Jeffries 18 2-6 1-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
M. Cisse 16 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 1 5 6 -
D. Williams * 19 4-4 2-2 1-3 3 4 3 0 5 11 12 -
M. Dandridge 24 4-5 0-0 1-4 5 2 0 3 1 9 13 -
J. Hardaway 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Grimes * 38 5-12 2-7 5-8 8 1 0 1 1 17 14 -
D. Jarreau * 37 6-14 2-6 5-7 8 3 2 0 4 19 14 -
J. Gorham * 36 4-9 1-3 1-2 12 2 1 1 2 10 15 -
M. Sasser * 27 2-9 1-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 -3 -
B. Gresham * 13 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Mark 28 3-12 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 8 3 -
R. Chaney 11 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
F. White Jr. 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter