Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Henry | 38 | 10-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Joshua Langford | 32 | 5-16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 18 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Julius Marble | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Malik Hall | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Garza * | 35 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 8-14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Joe Wieskamp * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Connor McCaffery * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jack Nunge | 23 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Joe Toussaint | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Keegan Murray | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tony Perkins | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ahron Ulis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter