Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +23 (98-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 33 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Morsell | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Huff | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. McKoy | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Clark * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 5 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 29 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Woldetensae * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Murphy III | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Abdur-Rahim | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nembhard | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| C. Kispert | 30 | 11-15 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 20 | - |
| D. Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| O. Ballo | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Ayayi * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Suggs * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| D. Timme * | 28 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| A. Watson * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Cook | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Strawther | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Zakharov | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter