Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 40 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Ruffridge | 33 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Calip | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Hipp | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Franklin | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Manning | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Gartner | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Jackson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Winslow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Rocca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redmond | 35 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| M. Crompton | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Moore | 34 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 7 | - |
| P. Saylor | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Wong | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Koudelka | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Wilson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Bullman | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. McGinnis-Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Newland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter