Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +35 (95-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Horne | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dusan Mahorcic | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dedric Boyd | 14 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Emon Washington * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Howard Fleming * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alston Andrews | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Yesufu | 18 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Deven Dahlke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| ShanQuan Hemphill * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Tremell Murphy * | 28 | 10-15 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - |
| D.J. Wilkins * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Darnell Brodie * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Roman Penn * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonah Jackson | 8 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Okay Djamgouz | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Issa Samake | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bryceson Burns | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Connor Gholson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Kwiecinski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Barrett | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter