Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Toney * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Champagnie * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| I. Horton * | 34 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| A. Coulibaly * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| F. Odukale | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 38 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| J. Huff | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Morsell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Clark * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter