Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Huff | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. McKoy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Clark * | 36 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Morsell | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hellems * | 37 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Allen * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Bates * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Seabron * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Hayes | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Moore | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter