Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | -4.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +6 (79-73). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 38 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| DJ Steward * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Matt Hurt * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jaemyn Brakefield * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 33 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 38 | - |
| Wendell Moore | 31 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Tape | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Baker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mark Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Au'Diese Toney * | 39 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 13-17 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 39 | 12-15 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 36 | - |
| Xavier Johnson * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Coulibaly * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Femi Odukale | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nike Sibande | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter