Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.7% | 12.3% | -10.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gorham | 38 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Quentin Grimes | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tramon Mark | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dejon Jarreau * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Sasser * | 31 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Brison Gresham * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius McNeill | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Yor Anei | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kendric Davis * | 37 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Feron Hunt * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Emmanuel Bandoumel * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isiah Jasey * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Charles Smith | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter