Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (68-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harper Jr. * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| J. Young * | 25 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -3 | - |
| G. Baker * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Mathis * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| P. Mulcahy | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. McConnell | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Reiber | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Palmquist | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Doucoure | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Mag | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry | 35 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Langford | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Kithier | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| G. Brown | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Watts | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| F. Loyer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| M. Hall | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter