Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wieskamp | 32 | 6-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| C. McCaffery * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ke. Murray * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Garza * | 28 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| J. Bohannon * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. McCaffery | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Nunge | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Toussaint | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Perkins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 38 | 8-13 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| A. Dosunmu * | 36 | 11-18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| A. Miller * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Williams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter