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2021-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. 31 3-10 1-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 3 11 1 -
J. Ahrens 29 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
E.J. Liddell 27 10-16 4-7 2-4 7 1 0 0 0 26 18 -
K. Young 24 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
M. Johnson 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Towns 16 4-6 2-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 11 8 -
Z. Key 13 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
M. Jallow 6 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
J. Sueing * 34 2-6 0-0 5-6 7 4 2 0 5 9 11 -
E. Brown III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 37 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 8 5 -
A. Dosunmu * 35 6-16 1-3 9-10 4 5 2 0 1 22 16 -
A. Miller * 32 4-9 3-8 3-3 7 0 1 0 0 14 13 -
K. Cockburn * 31 7-7 0-0 1-5 11 0 0 0 3 15 16 -
D. Williams * 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
G. Bezhanishvili 15 4-6 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
J. Grandison 12 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 8 7 -
A. Curbelo 12 1-3 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Hawkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter