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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 39 1-3 0-0 4-4 6 4 1 0 3 6 11 -
J. Grandison * 29 1-4 1-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 5 10 -
A. Miller * 28 2-3 1-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 6 9 -
D. Williams * 28 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 4 0 1 1 12 14 -
K. Cockburn * 25 7-13 0-0 5-11 7 0 0 0 3 19 10 -
A. Curbelo 25 6-13 1-2 4-4 7 1 2 0 6 17 8 -
G. Bezhanishvili 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
C. Hawkins 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 2 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Trice 38 9-16 6-9 5-6 0 2 1 0 4 29 12 -
B. Davison 28 1-9 0-3 2-2 4 2 5 0 0 4 6 -
M. Potter 24 5-12 2-8 3-3 6 1 2 1 0 15 13 -
A. Ford 24 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
T. Anderson 18 2-3 1-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
N. Reuvers 16 3-10 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 6 3 -
T. Wahl * 24 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Jon. Davis 28 2-7 0-2 1-2 4 1 3 0 1 5 5 -

* = starter