Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -4.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Hawkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 43 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Adam Miller * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Dosunmu * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Williams | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armaan Franklin | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Al Durham | 31 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Geronimo | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rob Phinisee | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 40 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Race Thompson * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Trey Galloway | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Khristian Lander | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Leal | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter