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2021-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Log Adjusted 77.5% 22.5% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Wagner * 38 6-11 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 14 6 -
I. Livers * 38 8-16 4-7 0-1 7 0 0 0 0 20 11 -
E. Brooks * 31 2-11 0-2 5-6 4 2 2 0 0 9 6 -
M. Smith * 31 2-5 1-1 1-1 2 6 2 0 1 6 10 -
H. Dickinson * 27 3-9 0-1 5-6 15 1 0 5 1 11 22 -
C. Brown 18 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
A. Davis 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
B. Johns Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Trice 34 4-11 0-2 8-9 5 3 2 0 3 16 12 -
A. Ford 29 5-8 3-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 15 8 -
B. Davison 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
N. Reuvers 22 1-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 3 -3 -
M. Potter 18 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 3 0 9 4 -
T. Anderson 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 0 6 -
T. Wahl * 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 1 2 8 -
Jon. Davis 23 5-8 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 11 5 -

* = starter