Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✗ (32.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -30 (58-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wieskamp * | 28 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| J. Bohannon * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. McCaffery * | 23 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Garza * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ke. Murray * | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Nunge | 26 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| P. McCaffery | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Toussaint | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Perkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| A. Ulis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kr. Murray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ogundele | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Baer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ash | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Langford | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Henry | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| G. Brown | 21 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| F. Loyer | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Watts | 10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Kithier | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Marble | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Hall * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Hauser | 24 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Izzo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter