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2021-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 68.2% 31.8% -
Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.2% 10.8% -
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Livers * 37 3-9 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
M. Smith * 36 5-12 1-5 0-1 3 7 0 0 1 11 8 -
F. Wagner * 35 4-12 2-5 0-0 6 5 2 2 3 10 10 -
H. Dickinson * 25 4-10 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
E. Brooks * 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
C. Brown 31 5-10 2-6 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
A. Davis 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
Z. Jackson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Johns Jr. 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Henry 37 6-13 1-2 5-6 5 3 1 0 0 18 14 -
R. Watts 33 8-16 0-2 5-6 4 4 0 0 2 21 11 -
M. Bingham Jr. 24 1-2 0-0 3-5 8 1 3 1 0 5 16 -
J. Langford 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
G. Brown 14 0-4 0-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Marble 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 1 2 -
J. Hoiberg 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Hall * 24 1-4 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
A. Hoggard * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hauser 17 5-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
M. Sissoko 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter