Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -1 (54-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Stefanovic * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Trevion Williams * | 26 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Newman * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mason Gillis * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Aaron Wheeler | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Zach Edey | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Thompson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Henry | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Joshua Langford | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Julius Marble | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Malik Hall | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter