Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -1 (54-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stefanovic * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Williams * | 26 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| B. Newman * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Gillis * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Wheeler | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Ivey | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Z. Edey | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| I. Thompson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Morton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Langford | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Watts | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| F. Loyer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| T. Kithier | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Marble | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Hall | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter