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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.1% 67.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Alston Jr. * 33 2-12 1-9 2-2 7 2 0 0 5 7 -1 -
M. Shaver Jr. * 32 6-12 1-5 0-0 7 1 3 1 2 13 11 -
M. Armus * 29 3-5 0-0 4-4 12 0 0 0 3 10 14 -
R. Dennis * 29 2-6 0-3 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
A. Kigab * 21 0-5 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 2 2 1 3 -
D. Doutrive 25 4-7 2-3 3-4 1 1 1 0 0 13 9 -
E. Akot 17 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 2 -
M. Rice 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Milner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell * 32 2-11 1-1 3-6 8 2 4 0 1 8 10 -
T. Pulliam * 31 3-9 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 6 6 -
T. Gomez * 27 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 9 2 -
J. Schakel * 18 4-9 3-7 6-6 2 0 0 0 1 17 9 -
J. Tomaic * 18 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 3 7 7 -
A. Seiko 25 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Mensah 21 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 8 6 -
K. Johnson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Butler 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
A. Arop 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter