Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Alston Jr. * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Armus * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| R. Dennis * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Kigab * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Doutrive | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| E. Akot | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Rice | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Milner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mitchell * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Gomez * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 18 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Tomaic * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Seiko | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Mensah | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Johnson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Butler | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Arop | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter