Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Alston Jr. * | 41 | 10-21 | 6-16 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 8 | - |
| M. Armus * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A. Kigab * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Dennis * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Doutrive | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| E. Akot | 25 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Rice | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Milner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mitchell * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| T. Gomez * | 26 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Seiko | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Tomaic | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Butler | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Arop | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter