Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | -6.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu | 38 | 13-20 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 18 | - |
| T. Frazier | 32 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Cockburn | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Williams | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Miller | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Grandison | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Smith | 39 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| X. Pinson | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mi. Smith | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Pickett | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Brown | 22 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ma. Smith | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Tilmon Jr. | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Buggs | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Braun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Wilmore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter