Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | +18.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +18 (60-42). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reaves * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malik Jefferson * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dakota Leffew | 28 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Frantisek Barton | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Opoku * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Chong Qui * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nah'Shon Hyland * | 28 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Offurum * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Vince Williams * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ace Baldwin Jr. * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Corey Douglas * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Levi Stockard * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Hason Ward | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jimmy Clark III | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mikeal Brown-Jones | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Josh Banks | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Naim Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Q. Mincey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Arnold Henderson VI | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Dedolli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter