Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kyman | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jaquez Jr. * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T. Campbell * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Riley * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| C. Smith * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Bernard * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Singleton | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Nwuba | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tomaic | 15 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Arop * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| T. Gomez | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Seiko | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Butler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter