Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (62-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Haarms | 25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Barcello * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| B. Averette * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| C. Harding * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Lee * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 24 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| C. Lohner | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Harward | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Knell | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| G. George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tomaic | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 32 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 31 | 12-17 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 23 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Arop * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Seiko | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Gomez | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Johnson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Butler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter