Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 30 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| J. Huff | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. McKoy | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Morsell | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Clark * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | -1 | - |
| C. Jones * | 40 | 2-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Withers * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Q. Slazinski * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Davis | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter